El nino s weather forecast are meant to be dry so what s with all this rain 20261017 p616cr.html – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
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El Ninos are meant to be dry. So what’s with all this rain?

Sarah Swain
Sarah Swain

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Sydneysiders couldn’t leave the house without an umbrella this week with parts of the city copping more than 110mm of rain.

Parts of Melbourne have also seen up to 300mm of rain this month.

SES crews across Sydney had a busy night after late showers. Today

SES crews across Sydney had a busy night after late showers. Today

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Both are way above the monthly average already.

But it comes as weather experts this week declared a “near-record” of a weather phenomenon blamed for warm, dry, weather.

And it’s set to get worse.

Sydney copped nearly 36mm of rain in an hour on Tuesday night.

Sydney copped nearly 36mm of rain in an hour on Tuesday night. Today

“El Niño is at near-record levels. Both oceanic and atmospheric indices reflect values consistent with a strong El Niño, with further intensification forecast during the rest of spring,” the Bureau of Meteorology said.

However the BOM said in its latest report it “does not necessarily mean strong impacts on Australian rainfall and temperature.“

”ENSO ( El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)_ is only one of many factors that can influence Australia’s seasonal weather and climate,” it said.

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It said more rainfall could be on the way as sea surface temperatures warm.

Last month experts warned eastern Australia is entering a “potentially dangerous” period as the El Nino climate pattern grows in strength.

Only weeks into spring and on the back of an exceptionally dry winter, ground conditions are becoming a growing bushfire risk, reports Weatherzone.

Last month was the warmest September on record.

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El Nino was declared in June.

El Niño — the climate condition when seas are unusually warm — can upturn usual weather patterns in winter and spring.

Sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean are far higher than the average.

Sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean are far higher than the average. Weatherzone

This year’s El Niño could become one of the most powerful on record, with forecasters predicting earlier this year it could reach a “super” level.

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Weather forecast for the week

Sydney will see showers until Tuesday, with the rest of the week set to be a warm 25 degrees.

Melbourne’s sun will give way to showers on Tuesday however temperatures will be in the mid to high 20s all week.

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Friday is set for a scorcher with 29 degrees forecast.

Brisbane will see showers all week and Adelaide will be warm with a few showers on Tuesday.

Perth is also in for a week of showers and cloud.

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