Reserve bank australia interest rate worst to come for many households as mortgage cliff looms 20230323 p5yq7x.html – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
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Worse to come for many households as 'mortgage cliff' looms

Chris Kohler and Allanah Sciberras

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Almost a million households are yet to feel the full impact of the Reserve Bank's barrage of interest rate hikes.

Economists warn that as many as 880,000 borrowers are heading towards a "mortgage cliff" when their low fixed rates expire this year and they're forced to adopt a significantly higher interest rate.

Rate City Research Director Sally Tindall said as many as one in five mortgage holders were in for an "almighty shock".

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READ MORE: Australian households feels the pinch from falling home prices

About 880,000 households are paying a low fixed mortgage rate which will end this year. Nine

"They're going to be hit with 10 RBA hikes all in one go," she told 9News.

"They could see their interest rate more than triple overnight. That would see their monthly repayments soar by around 60 per cent."

About 880,000 households are paying a low fixed mortgage rate which will end this year.

If households decide to refinance, they will find their borrowing capacity has plunged.

Compared with a year ago, someone with an average wage can now borrow about $170,000 less.

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"At the very least this will mean less spending power in the economy and a slow-down in demand," AMP Capital Chief Economist Shane Oliver said.

"It also runs the risk of increased mortgage stress and people having to sell their homes because they can't meet their mortgage payments."

While the US Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the ninth consecutive time overnight, Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe this week signalled Australian rates are closer to a "pause".

READ MORE: Steve owns 12 properties and is swimming in debt. He says landlords are other side of the rental crisis

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Philip Lowe faces House Economics Committee hearing at Parliament House in Canberra last month.

Philip Lowe faces House Economics Committee hearing at Parliament House in Canberra last month. The Sydney Morning Herald

Lowe addressed the Australian Financial Review's Business Summit earlier this month and forecast some welcome news for mortgage holders with a pause in rate rises on the horizon.

"With monetary policy now in restrictive territory, we are closer to the point where it will be appropriate to pause interest rate increases to allow more time to assess the state of the economy," Lowe said.

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