Federal election 2025 peter dutton claims australia will have recession under labor 20250408 p5zcpr.html – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
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Peter Dutton claims Australia is headed for a recession amid Trump's tariff turmoil

April Glover
April Glover

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Peter Dutton has used Donald Trump's stock market bloodbath to claim Australia will sink into a recession if Labor stays in government this federal election.

The opposition leader warned Australians that a recession is "coming for our economy" while comparing his cost-of-living measures against those offered by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese during a press conference in Sydney.

Dutton warned Treasurer Jim Chalmers' comments highlighting that financial markets are pricing in a chance of a 50 per cent interest rate cut next month was a dire sign of things to come.

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SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - APRIL 08: Pedestrians are reflected in a window as they walk past an electronic stock board at the ASX Ltd. exchange centre on April 08, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. Australia is facing a baseline 10% tariff on all exports to the U.S., imposed under President Trump's "Liberation Day" trade measures, which have sparked widespread criticism from Australian leaders and industries. The tariffs, coupled with existing 25% levies on steel and aluminum, have fueled concerns about econo

The Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) took a massive dive yesterday following the tariff announcement. Getty

"We know that Australian families have lived through almost two years of household recession. That's what Labor has already delivered during the term of government," Dutton said.

"The treasurer is talking about a 50-point reduction in interest rates which means obviously he sees a recession coming for our economy."

Chalmers yesterday said Australia was well placed to weather the economic storm caused by Trump after Treasury modelling showed the tariffs will deliver a "modest" 0.2 per cent hit to GDP by the end of next year, and just 0.1 per cent by 2030.

"We expect more manageable impacts on the Australian economy, but we still do expect Australian GDP to take a hit and we expect there to be an impact on prices here as well," he said yesterday.

"Markets are now expecting around four interest rate cuts in Australia this calendar year.

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"There's even... more than 50 per cent expectation in the markets that the next Reserve Bank interest rate cut in May might be as big as 50 basis points."

While the modelling forecasted a hit to GDP, it did still show the economy will continue to grow.

However, Dutton claimed to reporters a recession was imminent if Labor remained in power.

"It is under Labor," he said when asked if Australia was heading into a recession.

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"The government hasn't prepared our economy.

"Labor has made decisions in subsequent budgets now which make it harder for the economy to function with international headwinds."

Dutton predicted that "further actions out of the US, or retaliatory action from China or other countries" could also trigger a recession in the US.

Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor today described the past three years as the "biggest reduction in our standard of living".

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2025 Federal Election. Opposition leader Peter Dutton in the division of Werriwa. Mr Dutton press conference at the Mercure, Liverpool. Tuesday 8th April 2025. Photo: James Brickwood. SMH NEWS 250407. With Liberal member for Hume Angus Taylor

Peter Dutton claimed Australia is heading into a recession. James Brickwood

And following yesterday's ASX wipe-out, which saw more than $100 billion shed before markets clawed back losses today, Taylor said ordinary Australians are right to be worried about their future.

"The biggest we have ever seen... bigger than any of our peer countries," Taylor said.

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"It means households have very little room to move and we see retirees and those approaching retirement who are seeing their next eggs being slashed as a result of what's happening."

The prime minister today was asked about the possibility of an economic downturn in Australia when probed on Trump's tariff effect in Sydney today.

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Prime Minister Anthony Albanese at a press conference during a visit to headspace Ashfield, in Ashfield, NSW, on Tuesday 8 April 2025, during the 2025 federal election campaign. fedpol Photo: Alex Ellinghausen

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese did not rule out the possibility of a recession. Alex Ellinghausen

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"We have, as a government, continued to see the economy grow," Albanese said.

"We've continued to see now, over the last five quarters, wages grow five quarters in a row. We have, in addition to that, seen tax cuts for every taxpayer dealing with cost-of-living relief.

Albanese was also asked point-blank if a recession was on the cards.

"Look, we have turned what we inherited, which was deficits each and every year, into either surpluses or a lower deficit," he replied.

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