What might be in the federal budget
THE MAY 3 FEDERAL BUDGET:
WHAT WE KNOW
* There won't be a fistful of dollars as the government lives up to its promise of living within its means.
* Prudence, fairness and responsibility will be the catchwords.
* Measures will be included to boost jobs and growth as the economy transitions from the mining investment boom.
* The much-touted tax reform package will be included.
WHAT WON'T BE THERE
* Changes to tax breaks for property investors, aka negative gearing.
* Changes to the capital gains tax discount.
* A rise in the rate of GST, or broadening its base.
WHAT WILL BE THERE
* A reduction in the overall tax burden.
* Signs of modest improvement in the budget bottom line.
* Confirmation the budget repair levy on high-income earners will end on July 1, 2017.
* $5 billion over four years for a subsidised public dental scheme.
* $2.9 billion extra for public hospitals, stemming from COAG agreement.
* $230 million cyber security strategy.
* $100 million domestic violence campaign.
* $21 million in health care for chronic conditions.
* Brought-forward upgrade of Adelaide-Tarcoola rail line.
* New drugs on the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme.
* Extra aged-care places.
HINTED AT
* Modest personal income tax cuts to address wage inflation pushing middle-income earners into the second-highest tax bracket.
* Timetable for phased-in cut to the company tax rate of 30 per cent.
* Paring back superannuation tax concessions for high-income earners by lowering the 30 per cent tax on concessional contributions to $180,000 from $300,000, while helping those on low incomes.
* Further crackdown on welfare rorters.
* Incentives for state governments to get private sector involved in road, rail and port projects, and unlock land for housing.
* $1 billion for military role in Afghanistan, Iraq and Middle East, plus $1.4 billion in new defence spending.
WHAT VOTERS WANT (Essential Poll)
* Increased health and education funding.
* Personal income tax cuts.
* Reduced superannuation tax concessions for high earners.
* Increased tax on cigarettes.
WHAT BUSINESS WANTS
* The budget back in balance in five years.
* A path to a cut in the company and personal income tax rates.
* Infrastructure planning and skills training.
WHAT THE ECONOMY IS DOING
* Growing at its fastest pace in two years.
* Benign inflation outlook; unemployment rate remaining close to six per cent; wages growth at its slowest in almost two decades.
* Iron ore prices soaring to $US60 ($A80) per tonne compared to $US39 assumed in the mid-year budget review, a positive for national income.
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