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Victoria's seven-day moving average proves coronavirus cases are 'trending down'

Chanel Zagon and Tara Blancato

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Victoria's seven-day moving average for COVID-19 cases has dropped into the 200s for the first time in a month, as infections continue to fall across the state amid lockdown.

Data analysed by 9news.com.au shows the state's average plummeted to 278.86 today, which is the lowest since July 17 and the first time numbers have fallen into the 200s since July 18.

It comes as Victoria also recorded its lowest number of coronavirus cases today in over a month, with 216 cases announced and 12 deaths.

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READ MORE: Australia could be 'split in two' if Victoria and New South Wales follow the suppression strategy

According to the 9news.com.au analysis, the state's average was the highest from August 1-7, when Victoria experienced its highest ever spike in cases when 725 were recorded on August 4.

Today's drop in cases reaffirms hope to Victorians that the number of COVID-19 infections was "trending down".

However, experts previously told 9news.com.au numbers had not dropped as much as expected.

"The decline in the last week hasn't been as dramatic as I might have expected. Nevertheless, it is going down," Tony Blakely, a Professorial Fellow in Epidemiology at the University of Melbourne said.

"It does look a bit better. It's going to take time."

READ MORE: Victoria's virus cases drop to lowest in over a month

A 9news.com.au analysis shows the moving seven-day average for Victoria's coronavirus cases. Nine

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Victoria's Chief Health Officer Professor Brett Sutton said overall the state's downward trend was "good".

"The number of overall active cases is coming down by the hundreds each day, but it is still a pretty big number," he said.

"I do expect that to decrease by a couple of hundred every day for the rest of this week and more next week. I would hope that we are in the hundreds, not in the 200s, next week but it all depends on everyone doing the right thing, including stepping up for testing."

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